Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.107184 0.164362 0.231607 0.313966 0.409921 0.516355 0.641647
2025-12-21 0.044752 0.111893 0.207645 0.340018 0.507932 0.706004 0.950527
2025-12-28 0.021692 0.088738 0.200766 0.368317 0.591281 0.862697 1.205450
2026-01-04 0.007461 0.066907 0.187583 0.382717 0.653724 0.992429 1.428015
2026-01-11 0.002719 0.059118 0.192843 0.420391 0.744639 1.156052 1.690528
2026-01-18 0.000326 0.050007 0.192451 0.447809 0.820746 1.300601 1.929744
2026-01-25 NaN 0.036387 0.178314 0.451199 0.862134 1.399836 2.112473
2026-02-01 NaN 0.018930 0.146140 0.420277 0.851997 1.430242 2.207880
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006516 0.112718 0.380206 0.824173 1.434339 2.267771
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002084 0.096543 0.367502 0.834456 1.487484 2.388619
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000689 0.091067 0.374390 0.873988 1.579864 2.559689
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000009 0.081525 0.370994 0.896557 1.648553 2.699898
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.066670 0.354280 0.899017 1.692219 2.812020
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.071561 0.384387 0.978563 1.844746 3.068344
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.076237 0.413945 1.057199 1.995993 3.322990
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.075292 0.429437 1.112658 2.114857 3.535411
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.084017 0.469421 1.209007 2.291605 3.824359
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.088401 0.498502 1.287362 2.443179 4.080445
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.082911 0.502090 1.323133 2.534678 4.257507
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.064861 0.469309 1.296229 2.536444 4.315421
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.045953 0.426731 1.249304 2.507573 4.331113
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.037773 0.413207 1.251559 2.548532 4.439059
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.035866 0.420541 1.291083 2.643851 4.620145